会计师事务所与客户的双边匹配

以2013年至2018年A股上市公司及为其提供审计服务的国内会计师事务所为研究样本,基于双边匹配理论探讨了审计市场中会计师事务所与企业之间的匹配情况对审计质量和审计风险的影响。研究结果表明,综合实力较强的会计师事务所倾向于与综合实力较强的企业进行匹配,呈现出审计双方综合实力相当的一种正向类聚匹配：当双方匹配程度越高时,企业可操纵性应计利润较少,审计质量越高;同时,当审计双方匹配度越高时,审计风险越低。上述结果证实了审计市场上会计师事务所与客户匹配的有效性和重要性,并对通过双边匹配提高会计师事务所的审计质量、降低审计风险,为审计市场资源优化配置提供了理论指导。     

控股股东股权质押、市场化水平与公司风险承担

聚焦微观企业,以我国A股上市公司为样本,研究了控股东股权质押对上市公司风险承担的影响。研究发现：（1）控股股东股权质押正向影响上市公司的风险承担水平,且这种影响在控股股东持股比例较低和所处地区市场化程度较高的公司中更为显著。（2）控股股东股权质押对上市公司风险担的正向影响只有在股权质押率较高和公司存在融资约束时才会发挥作用。（3）上市公司风险承担的提高可以促进公司价值的提升,有助于公司的长远发展。     

试述我国企业法务制度的现实局限性和完善建议

企业发展过程中构建科学完善的法务制度对于企业和市场经济发展来说都十分必要。市场经济是法治经济,随着社会主义市场经济的发展,在激烈竞争中企业法务制度的重要性日趋显现。企业法务制度作为现代企业制度的有机组成部分,建立和完善现代企业的法务制度,妥善应对和有效化解企业法律风险,对企业依法经营管理、长远发展具有重要意义。     

我国商业银行中小企业信贷风险管理研究

在经济新常态下,我国商业银行中小企业信贷业务面临着机遇和挑战。中小企业发展迅速,在推动就业、增加税收等方面起着重要作用。但其自身稳定性弱、风险大,使得商业银行对其谨慎放贷,中小企业融资难成为制约其发展的一大重要因素。论文通过对我国商业银行中小企业信贷现状及其风险形成进行分析,对商业银行中小企业信贷风险管理提出相应策略和管理措施。     

互联网金融视角下股权众筹融资的投资风险探析

股权众筹是公司通过出让股份获得资金的一种融资方式,它的出现很大程度上解决了中小型企业融资难、融资贵的问题。但是近年来股权众筹的发展速度逐渐放缓,同时模式本身也暴露出了较高的投资风险。针对这些投资风险,论文从退出机制、外部审计和监管三个层面给出了相应的措施建议。     

风险预控管理体系在煤矿安全管理中的作用

当前我国的煤矿行业迈入了转型发展的重要时期,国家对煤矿行业的安全生产管理提出了越来越高的要求,安全生产标准化成为煤矿企业的重点工作。煤矿生产作业的特殊性决定了在各项生产作业中存在各种安全风险,作业流程的繁多性、要素的多样性加大了煤矿安全管理的难度。煤矿行业现代化的发展趋势下,风险预控管理体系的构建为煤矿安全生产目标的实现提供了保障。     

基于GONE理论的LK公司舞弊动因分析与审计风险防范

继浑水发布做空报告后,LK公司于2020年4月自曝2019年年度审计期间发现相关业务数据巨额造假,引起社会广泛关注.企业战略,尤其是商业模式,已经成为管理层产生财务报表层次重大错报风险的重要诱因.文章以GONE理论作为工具来识别和预判财务舞弊的倾向和风险,解释了企业管理层进行财务舞弊的动因.做空机构基于企业战略层面的潜在风险,有针对性地采取手段并取得了有力证据.注册会计师行业应思考如何发挥职业判断在防范审计风险中的作用,尤其要克服认知偏差对保持职业怀疑的影响,同时应借鉴并改进审计程序,以有效降低审计风险.     

Are gold,USD, and Bitcoin hedge or safe haven against stock? The implication for risk management

This study investigates whether gold, USD, and Bitcoin are hedge and safe haven assets against stock and if they are useful in diversifying downside risk for international stock markets. We propose a combined GO-GARCH-EVT-copula approach to examine the hedge and safe haven properties of gold, USD, and Bitcoin. We then examine the attractiveness of these assets in reducing stock portfolio risk by using downside risk measures estimated by the proposed approach and other competing models. We also evaluate the relative performance of the proposed model in reducing downside risk with the competing models. The findings of the study indicate that the USD is the most valuable hedge and safe haven asset closely followed by gold, while Bitcoin is the least valuable. It is also observed that the proposed combined approach performs best in reducing the portfolio downside risk. The findings of this study are of significance for portfolio managers and individual investors who wish to protect the portfolio value during market turmoil.     

A Bayesian approach for more reliable tail risk forecasts

This paper demonstrates that existing quantile regression models used for jointly forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are sensitive to initial conditions. Given the importance of these measures in financial systems, this sensitivity is a critical issue. A new Bayesian quantile regression approach is proposed for estimating joint VaR and ES models. By treating the initial values as unknown parameters, sensitivity issues can be dealt with. Furthermore, new additive-type models are developed for the ES component that are more robust to initial conditions. A novel approach using the open-faced sandwich (OFS) method is proposed which improves uncertainty quantification in risk forecasts. Simulation and empirical results highlight the improvements in risk forecasts ensuing from the proposed methods.     

Labor unemployment risk and firm risk

This paper examines the effect of labor unemployment risk on firm risk. Using unemployment insurance benefits as a proxy for unemployment risk, we find an economically significant positive relation between unemployment risk and firm risk. This positive relation is more pronounced for firms that are more labor-intensive, have a higher layoff propensity and are more financially constrained. While existing literature that employs corporate policy measures such as debt and cash holdings suggests an opposite relationship, our paper presents evidence that the effects stemming from earnings management, earnings quality and reporting quality appear to dominate.